Bitcoin

Study finds CME drives Bitcoin price, but it excludes stablecoin volumes


On Oct. 14, Wilshire Phoenix investment firm released its Efficient Price Discovery report, which detailed how CME Bitcoin (BTC) futures impact Bitcoin price discovery.

The firm concluded that “CME Bitcoin futures contribute more to price discovery than its related spot markets.” And the researchers also suggested that:

“CME Bitcoin futures have grown to become significant, this is not only demonstrated through trading volume and open interest, but also by influence on spot price formation.”

Wilshire’s analysis correctly states that price discovery in traditional markets is a contested topic. The report also adds that studies on price formation often find that the futures markets lead most of the time, but this doesn’t mean their conclusions about CME Bitcoin futures are absolute.

According to the report, CME Group, the leading derivatives venue, trades $5.15 trillion per day across its multiple markets. According to Nasdaq data, this number compares to the $430 billion in daily volume seen in the U.S. stock market.

This data shows that the trend of derivatives volumes surpassing spot exchanges by tenfold is the norm rather than an exception.